Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Goytom Abraha Kahsay
Author-Name-First: Goytom Abraha
Author-Name-Last: Kahsay
Author-Email: goytom@ifro.ku.dk
Author-Workplace-Name: Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Copenhagen
Author-Name: Lars Gårn Hansen
Author-Name-First: Lars Gårn
Author-Name-Last: Hansen
Author-Email: lgh@ifro.ku.dk
Author-Workplace-Name: Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Copenhagen
Title: The Effect of Climate Change and Adaptation Policy on Agricultural Production in Eastern Africa
Abstract: We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. We also find substantial potential for mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting that substantially exceeds the potential loss from predicted climate change.
Length: 33 pages
Creation-Date:  2014-09
File-URL: http://okonomi.foi.dk/workingpapers/WPpdf/WP2014/IFRO_WP_2014_08.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
Number: 2014/08
Classification-JEL: Q18, Q54, O55, E23, O13, R11
Keywords: Climate change, adaptation policy, Eastern Africa, agricultural production
Handle: RePEc:foi:wpaper:2014_08